Sector Analysis 01 April 2012

Sector Analysis Summary

The telecom, transportation, industrial, financials, energy sectors appear weak this week.  The remainder of the sectors look pretty strong.

ETF Trading System

Cation (yellow light)

iShares DJ US Telecom

ETF Symbol: IYZ

Stock chart of iShares DJ US Telecom showing technical analysis for April 1, 2012 DJ US Telecom dropped in price last week but is trading in the middle of an ascending channel.  IYZ will likely retreat to the lower trend line on the chart $21.90 - OBV bearish divergence and possible Williams%R retreating to -80 (trending).  Longer term this ETF will probably follow the general market.  I suggest sitting on the sidelines until a clearer pattern is established.

Buy ETF (green light)

iShares DJ US Technology

ETF Symbol: IYW

Stock chart of iShares DJ US Technology showing technical analysis for April 1, 2012 DJ US Technology is still trading within an ascending channel.  IYW is now close to the lower trend line and represents a good buying opportunity.  A protective stop should be placed below the support level shown on the chart.

 

Sell ETF (red light)

iShares DJ Transportation Average

ETF Symbol: IYT

iShares Dow Jones Transportation Average IYT stock chart showing technical analysis for April 1, 2012

Although the DJ Transportation Average has formed an ascending triangle, which is normally bullish, the bearish On-Balance Volume divergence appears ominous.  I have to keep the red light signal on for this week.

 

Cation (yellow light)

iShares DJ US Basic Materials

ETF Symbol: IYM

iShares DJ US Basic Materials stock chart showing technical analysis for April 1, 2012

DJ US Basic Materials traded sideways last week and is trading within a horizontal channel.  The On-Balance Volume is showing bullish divergence but let's wait for a breakout from the channel.  Place a buy Stop at $72.25.

 

Buy ETF (green light)

iShares DJ US Consumer Goods

ETF Symbol: IYK

iShares Dow Jones US Consumer Goods stock chart showing technical analysis for April 1, 2012

DJ US Consumer Goods was up last week and is still trading within an ascending channel.  The status of this ETF remains green light with a protective stop below the support level shown on the chart.



Cation (yellow light)

iShares DJ US Industrial

ETF Symbol: IYJ

iShares DJ US Industrial stock chart showing technical analysis for April 1, 2012

DJ US Industrial was up (slightly) last week and came close to touching the lower trend line of the Ascending Channel.  IYJ is sitting a a support level and also trading within a small symmetrical triangle.  IYJ could break either way but the bearish divergence with the On-Balance Volume appears ominous.  If the ETF breaks below the support level shown on the chart then this will be a good short term short position play.

 

Buy ETF (green light)

iShares DJ US Healthcare

ETF Symbol: IYH

iShares DJ US Healthcare stock chart showing technical analysis for April 1, 2012

DJ US Healthcare continues to impress.  Keep the long position while respecting the support level shown on the chart.

 

 

Cation (yellow light)

iShares DJ US Financial

ETF Symbol: IYF

iShares DJ US Financial Sector stock chart showing technical analysis for April 1, 2012

DJ US Financial was up slightly last week.  The On Balance Volume is still exhibiting bearish divergence.  Stay on the sidelines but look for a possible breakdown.



Sell ETF (red light)

iShares DJ US Energy

ETF Symbol: IYE

iShares DJ Energy stock chart showing technical analysis for April 1, 2012

DJ US Energy still appears to be negative.  Aggressive traders should short the IYE with a very tight protective stop above the resistance level shown on the chart.

 

Buy ETF (green light)

 iShares DJ US Consumer Services

ETF Symbol: IYC

iShares DJ US Consumer Services stock chart showing technical analysis for April 1, 2012

DJ US Consumer Services, like IYK Consumer Goods, managed to stay within its ascending channel and support level.  The status of this ETF remains green light with a protective stop below the lower trend line.

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Buy ETF (green light)

iShares DJ US Utilities

ETF Symbol: IDU

iShares DJ US Utilities stock chart showing technical analysis for April 1, 2012

DJ US Utilities has formed an ascending channel.  The On-Balance Volume is showing bullish divergence.  This is a long position, long term play.  Place a protective stop below the lower trend line.



Disclosure:  The author "Walks the walk" in addition to "Talking the Talk".