Sector Analysis 26 November 2012

The markets experienced a major bounce on a short trading week.  Most of the price charts look quite bearish but I do not recommend shorting everything as this strategy could be quite dangerous at this time of year.  So I am going to take a wait-and-see attitude.  Aggressive traders could initiate shorts at the first signs of downward movement.  The rest of us should stay on the sidelines this week, except for Basic Materials.
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Sector Analysis 17 September 2012

Last week was again very bullish primarily due to Federal Reserve actions, commonly referred to as Quantity Easing 3 (QE3).  Because of the Fed actions, most sector ETFs shot through the roof and I found there was no point in analyzing the two indicators I generally track:  Williams%R and On-Balance Volume (OBV) . The only two sectors that do not appear to be extremely bullish are IDU (utilities) and IYT (transportation).
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Sector Analysis 9 September 2012

Last week was very bullish, in particular the last two days.  We will have to wait and see if the euphoria carries through to this coming week.  I would suggest waiting until the market opens on Monday to gauge which way the winds are blowing before placing brokers instructions.  Many of the sector ETFs are sitting just above support levels.  If these ETFs open below support on Monday then the bull market will fail.
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Sector Analysis 24 June 2012

This last week we saw some separation of price action among the sectors. i.e. they were not following the general market trend.  Some sectors are starting to present some pretty bullish charts and I believe the Europe crisis will be ignored for the next few weeks.  If this year follows the typical seasonal pattern then we should be good until the end of July - then the next phase of the bear market will likely kick into high gear.
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Sector Analysis 17 June 2012

The stock market was strong last week in spite of the ongoing concerns in Europe.  It is likely that this issue (Europe/Greece/Spain) is suffering from investor fatigue and in that case the markets should continue to be strong.  The best part of a bull market is the initial stages, while the average investor is sleeping.  This being said, the recent strength could be one big head-fake with the bear returning with full fury.  In any case, the good sectors are starting to separate from the bad.  So don't just jump on the bandwagon but be very selective.
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Sector Analysis 13 May 2012

The charts are looking fairly bleak **again** this week.  Most of the sectors are either bearish or neutral.  Keep in mind that market sentiment can change very fast.  In this type of market condition it is best to go long some ETFs (such as transportation, utilities and basic materials) and short others (such as technology, energy, financials, consumer goods).
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